AFL over/under lines released ahead of 2019 season

Richmond have been given the highest line with Gold Coast the lowest.

Published by
Daniel Ewart

The TAB has released its 2019 over/under lines for all 18 AFL teams with 100 days to go until round one.

Gold Coast are by far the lowest placed side at 4.5 wins, with Carlton second last with 6.5.

At the other end of the table, Richmond are first with 14.5 wins, with premiers West Coast, Collingwood and Melbourne all with 13.5.

We've decided to look at all the lines, and give our thoughts about whether we believe the team will finish with more or less wins than the TAB believe.

Adelaide-Fremantle

Adelaide

  • Line: 12.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: OVER

Adelaide will be looking to move on from a horror 2018. The Crows will hope for fully fit seasons from the likes of Rory Sloane and Brad Crouch. If the side can stay fit and focused then a return to the top eight is likely.

Brisbane

  • Line: 9.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: OVER

Brisbane have quietly built a strong team that can only get better. With young stars like Harris Andrews and Cam Rayner at each end of the ground and the addition of Lachie Neale, the Lions should be thinking big in 2019.

Carlton

  • Line: 6.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: UNDER

As if Carlton didn't have enough problems, they have already lost their co-captain Sam Docherty to a second ACL injury in as many years. The pieces are there for Carlton in all areas of the ground, but the team is yet to click and 2019 looks like it could be another tough year for the Blues.

Collingwood

  • Line: 13.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: OVER

It's easy to forget that Collingwood made the Grand Final with an extensive injury list that featured players normally in their best 22. A fully fit Magpies side, with additions like Dayne Beams, should once again be aiming for a top four spot.

Essendon

  • Line: 12.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: OVER

Essendon have been big free agency movers in the past two years and landed a big fish this off-season in the form of Dylan Shiel. With Shiel entering an already strong midfield and Joe Daniher set to return from injury, the Bombers could surprise many with where they end up.

Fremantle

  • Line: 9.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: OVER

The Dockers are one of the tougher sides to predict. They have gained high-class talent in the form of Jesse Hogan and Rory Lobb, but also lost perennial ball-winner Lachie Neale. What impact these moves will have remains to be seen, but optimism is high in the west.

Geelong-North Melbourne

Geelong

  • Line: 12.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: UNDER

A number of teams have been predicted improvers, but Geelong could be set to go the other way. The Cats are difficult to read as on one hand they have bright young players like Brandan Parfitt and Jack Henry, but on the other their senior players are another year older and closer to the end. Overall, Geelong could really go either way, but it feels like their time may be done.

Gold Coast

  • Line: 4.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: UNDER

Let's face it. It's going to be a very, very, very, very, very long year for the Suns. They have lost a lot of high-end talent with Steven May and Tom Lynch moving to Victorian clubs and the Suns have received very little in return. The big hope for Gold Coast is that one or all of Jack Lukosius, Izak Rankine and Ben King develop into superstars that want to stick around.

GWS

  • Line: 11.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: OVER

Despite losing many top quality players in recent years, the Giants have managed to maintain a stable core of stars. Keeping these stars fit and firing will be the key for GWS. The likes of Josh Kelly, Jeremy Cameron and Toby Greene will go a long way to deciding the club's fate.

Hawthorn

  • Line: 12.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: OVER

Hawthorn have got talent in all the right areas to go with bright young stars who look ready to a make the next step. Reigning Brownlow Medalist Tom Mitchell will once again be key in midfield, but the Hawks have enough depth and talent to make a strong top four case.

Melbourne

  • Line: 13.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: OVER

Melbourne were the surprise package of the finals and will undoubtedly be there again. They will need to cover for the loss of Jesse Hogan, but with the likes of Angus Brayshaw, Sam Weideman and Bayley Fritsch all set to keep growing as players, the future is bright for the Demons.

North Melbourne

  • Line: 11.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: UNDER

North Melbourne surprised many with their performances in 2018 and added to strong best 22 with the additions of Jared Polec and Jasper Pittard. The question that will hang over North all year is whether they are good enough to crack the top eight. Certainly they have the high-end players to do it, but is the side strong enough all the way through to do it?

Port Adelaide-Western Bulldogs

Port Adelaide

  • Line: 11.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: UNDER

Port recently lost two of their better players, with Jared Polec and Chad Wingard moving to Victoria. While they gained a bright young star in Ryan Burton, it is tough to see where else Port have improved compared to those around them. A tough year could await them as they look for young players to establish themselves in the side.

Richmond

  • Line: 14.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: OVER

It shocked most of the AFL world when Richmond went out in the preliminary final. This year, they are back, stronger and with a point to prove. The Tigers, with Tom Lynch now in the side, will want to finish top and prove to the league that they are still the team to beat.

St Kilda

  • Line: 8.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: UNDER

St Kilda are another team that is tough to read. Predicted for good things in 2018, the Saints quickly found themselves near the bottom and struggling. Max King is the next great hope for the Saints and he will likely become a focal point in their forward line as they look to move back up the table.

Sydney

  • Line: 11.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: UNDER

Sydney have started their past two seasons poorly and have struggled to make finals. Lance Franklin will enter the season with a limited pre-season and having suffered a few injuries in recent years. All this just give off the feeling that this could be the year that Sydney fall off the pace, as younger teams take the next step.

West Coast

  • Line: 13.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: OVER

The reigning premiers should make the top four once again. They haven't lost any of their key players, will get Nic Natanui back at some point and have brought in Tom Hickey to replace Scott Lycett. A team as good the Eagles were last season will not suddenly drop off.

Western Bulldogs

  • Line: 9.5
  • Hanger Team Thinks: UNDER

It's tough to see where the Bulldogs fit in. They are far from being the worst team, but aren't yet a top eight level side. They have added depth with Sam Lloyd and Taylor Duryea and selected one of the hardest working prospects ever seen in Bailey Smith. The Dogs are not back at a 2016 level yet, but are on their way back.

Published by
Daniel Ewart