In a high-stakes standoff as the AFL trade deadline looms, the Western Bulldogs have reportedly rebuffed Geelong's initial offer of pick No. 17 for their star midfielder Bailey Smith, instead demanding a top-10 selection in November's “super draft.”
The Cats are standing firm on their offer, which they believe accurately reflects Smith's current value following a season marred by injury.
Smith, who has been sidelined with an ACL injury and is out of contract, has expressed a desire to move from Whitten Oval to the Cats, adding urgency for both clubs to strike a deal.
While the Bulldogs remain intent on securing a higher pick, sources suggest Smith's management could push for his release through the national draft if a trade is not reached. This would allow Geelong a chance to acquire him without further compensation to the Bulldogs, potentially leaving them empty-handed.
Geelong's reluctance to yield to the Bulldogs' top-10 pick demand is driven by concerns over Smith's recent form and physical setbacks. Celebrated for his explosive 2021 season and finals campaign, the 23-year-old has faced an uphill battle in reestablishing his standing due to his ACL injury and a challenging 2023 campaign.
"Pick 17 is fair, given Smith's recent performance," noted Herald Sun's Scott Gullan on Fox Footy's Trading Day. Gullan emphasised that Geelong's first-round pick should suffice, given the circumstances.
As negotiations progress, AFL insiders are wary of the potential for Smith to go through the draft — a move former Collingwood player Luke Ball strongly advises against. Reflecting on his own experience, Ball, who faced the draft after a deal with St Kilda fell through in 2009, expressed his hope that the Cats and Bulldogs avoid placing Smith in similar limbo.
“The waiting and uncertainty are gruelling,” Ball told the Herald Sun, emphasising that Smith's future should not be subjected to such a risk.
While both clubs continue their talks, time is running short to reach a mutually beneficial agreement. The Cats currently hold picks 17, 38, and 57, while the Bulldogs have selections 35 and 48.
Bulldogs list manager Sam Power stated they "expect a lot" for Smith, while Geelong's Andrew Mackie remains hopeful of a compromise.
With only days remaining until the trade deadline, both parties are expected to make final concessions, with many believing a resolution will likely come down to the wire.