Fantasy Form: Old dog to bite Hawks

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Game Info: 7:50pm (AEST) Friday September 16, MCG

FANTASY FOOTY SHORTS

MCG. Knockout semi final. Dry track. Hawks on the brink of history face a Dogs side that found their bark in the West last Thursday – does it get much better than this!!

Some monster scores last weekend have translated into big price tags this week with Daniel (110pts), Picken (96pts), Dahlhaus (93pts), Lewis (90pts), Burgoyne (88pts) and Hodge (80pts) all cracking that premium 80pt range.

Is there a better fantasy example of cream rising to the top when it matters than the games from Hodge and Burgoyne last Friday?

Up 25 and 15pts on their season averages. Huge. Salary Cappers have found them though so coaches won’t get them at a steal but with midfield quality like that available to be selected in defence you can’t ignore it no matter the price.

Just a lazy 110pts from Caleb Daniel last Thursday in the west doubling his season average – very hard to look past.

Don’t be too focused on the last-start efforts of the Hawks forwards though, they played the most experienced defence in the comp in Geelong so expect a lift in output back to on or above their averages.

Roughy coming off a 72pt effort (20+ on season average) looks value over McEvoy who will struggle to top his 51pt season average.

Where do we start in the midfield – class oozing off the selection sheets with no less than seven genuine guns all capable of clearing 75pts in Bont, Mitchell, Lewis, Libba, Picken, Dahlhaus and Hunter.

Runners like Smith, Hill and Hartung are all a good chance to post solid scores on what will be a franticly fast game played on a dry track.

Weather
Dry and perfect for footy!

Stats View

PLAYER FOCUS

Matthew Boyd (Bulldogs – DEF – $568,000)

One of the relics of the superb Dogs side of the late 2000’s, Boyd remembers all too well what a semi-final / prelim final loss feels like. He might well go around next season but I expect him to play this game like it is his last. He will be everywhere and in everything. 30+ game looms and im backing him in at a good price to be in the top two defenders which means he has to out-score Hodge or Burgoyne here. Can be argued (and is) that no one on that ground wants this more than the old Dog. Was quiet last week (49pts) but wasn’t really needed – expect he goes flying past his 64pt season average on his way to a solid 80+ game.

Game Info: 7:25pm (AEST) Saturday September 17, SCG

FANTASY FOOTY SHORTS

It might be a hot footy out in the middle of the SCG on Saturday night but it will have nothing on the toughness coaches will face at selection for this ripping semi final clash!

Mitchell getting named in the forward six along with Parker and Lyons really make that position the most important given coaches can take two genuine midfielders as forwards, opt for two goal-kicking match-winners or choose a combination of the two.

Kennedy is a gun. Price almost irrelevant given how he plays especially in finals – admittedly last weekend I did say he was too expensive (and thanks to a Stevie J high shot he was!) but he still punched out a 79 after being out for the second quarter.

Just one tackle which is very rare. Can crack the ton.

Speaking of tackles, liked Thompsons’ 9 and Lyons’ 8 while Hannebery’s 7 was a team-high for the Swans.

Nick Smith cleans up his disposal efficiency and he rockets into the excellent value category – coming off a 47pt game with just 8 effective disposals from 19 against the Giants. 7 tackles help. Price is still low worth consideration.

Allir Allir very impressive 44pt return in his first final while (stay with me here) Laidler’s price does appeal given his selection means you can really stack the rest of your midfield/forward line with hard-nosed ball-winners.

Not much in the ruck price wise – Jacobs looks the safer selection on last-start and season form.

Weather
Three days of sunshine in Sydney – Saturday forecast is fine and perfect for fantasy footy!

Stats View

Player Focus

Lance Franklin (Swans – FWD – $584,000)

With no Tippet it is pretty clearly Buddy or bust for the Swans this week. Got his 20 touches (13 efficient) and kicked two behinds so despite a quiet-ish game he could really have improved on his 66pts against the Giants just by kicking better. Not sure the Crows have anyone who can take him if he is on and im backing him in for a 20+ / 3-goal game which should return coaches a nice 80+ score. If the Swans are struggling he will get his touches up the ground, if they are on top he will be kicking for goal – either way he is in the game and scoring you points.