West Coast Eagles

Five trade packages for Pick 1 that could satisfy West Coast

It’ll take an exceptional offer to pry Pick 1 out of the Eagles’ hands, but five clubs could have enough to get a deal done.

Published by
Mitch Keating

While much has been made of which players will be heading where this off-season, the biggest deal of them all could be West Coast parting with Pick 1.

The Eagles are said to be prepared and pleased to open November's draft count but could be willing to offer their spot at the front of the queue to another club if an exceptionally satisfying deal is sent their way.

Four clubs hold multiple first-round picks at this year's draft, while free agency compensation and an assistance package from the AFL are also expected to extend the number of selections made during the opening night of the National Draft next month.

All 17 rivals would love to gain access to Pick 1, but only several sides are likely to have enough draft capital to potentially broker a deal with the Eagles this off-season.

And with Tongala junior Harley Reid viewed as the standout selection in this year's class, offers are likely to be floated West Coast's way.

In this exercise, we look at five clubs that could conjure offers for Pick 1 that might satisfy the Eagles.

North Melbourne

Offer: Pick 2 and 2024 first-round selections via AFL assistance package

There's a multitude of combinations the Kangaroos could put forward to the Eagles given their riches of early picks for this year and next.

North Melbourne currently holds Picks 2, 14 and 19 for this year's draft as well as their own 2024 first-round selection and two picks from their AFL assistance package that are set to fall at the end of the opening round next year.

Those later pickers for 2024 could be reviewed or rescinded by the AFL in the case that North Melbourne isn't seen to be in need of them by the league in 12 months' time, however, the Roos are able to trade them this year and avoid the outcome of losing the picks, or at least seeing them pushed back in the order following a promising 2024 season.

That leaves the club with next to no choice but to place them on the trade table this year if they are looking to either bring in experienced talent or strengthen their draft hand.

On top of their draft riches is the looming likelihood that the loss of key defender Ben McKay through free agency could see North Melbourne acquire Pick 3 as compensation.

Between that selection and Pick 2, West Coast is likely to ask for the latter in negotiations. If the Eagles are giving up access to the top player in this year's draft class then they'll be keen on recruiting the next best.

That prospect could be Western Australian defender Dan Curtin, who would be a suitable selection for the Eagles given his strengths as a versatile key position talent. The Roos would then re-enter the count at Pick 3 with Tasmanian pair Colby McKercher and Riley Sanders likely in their sights.

So the deal would see the Roos have access to Harley Reid and still hold Picks 3, 14 and 19 for this year's draft on top of their own 2024 first-round selection, while the Eagles secure Pick 2 and pocket two late first-round picks for next year's draft.

If West Coast is asking for more, then North Melbourne could swap one of their late 2024 first-round picks for Pick 14 to sweeten the deal.

Melbourne

Offer: Picks 5, 13 and 2024 first-round selection

Despite their finals finish, the Demons hold one of the strongest draft hands this year, with a current total of 4409 draft points, with Picks 5, 13, 25 and 33 at their disposal ahead of next month's market.

Their opening selection comes via Fremantle following their deal to move on Luke Jackson last year, with the Dockers' unforeseen plummet to 14th on the ladder a big bonus for the Demons.

That pick, coupled with Melbourne's own first-round selections for this year and next, has placed the 2021 premiers in a seat that could satisfy a deal with West Coast for Pick 1.

It sees the Eagles remain in the top five of the draft this year, gain Pick 13 and double their draft first-round hand for 2024.

The selection of Pick 13 is likely to hold great value given the top line of this year's draft class looks to reach an end shortly after the opening 15 or so prospects are taken, meaning the Eagles should get access to a pool of players before the talent begins to fall away.

Hawthorn

Offer: Pick 3, 2024 first-round selection and a player

There'd be some intrigue from the Eagles if this was put forward to them by the Hawks, with West Coast keeping a top-three selection and could gain another very early selection for next year while also adding to their playing list.

The latter asset will be a deciding factor in how this deal would play out, however, with Hawthorn small forward Tyler Brockman eyeing a move west he could be the final piece of this puzzle.

That would see West Coast add a promising emerging goal threat in Brockman and potentially hold two top-three picks for the price of Pick 1.

There's every chance the Hawks aren't willing to move on both of their early selections, but you'd think under the eyes of Sam Mitchell, the brown and gold will be pressing for a finish much higher than where they landed this year.

In the case the Eagles aren't settled on the offer, then Western Australian Denver Grainger-Barras could be raised in negotiations.

GWS

Offer: Picks 6, 15 and 2024 first-round selection

The Giants are one of four clubs that hold multiple first-round selections for the 2023 draft, joining the aforementioned Roos and Demons, as well as the Bulldogs, to have access to multiple top draft prospects come November.

The Western Bulldogs might be an unlikely bidder for Pick 1 given their draft plans to acquire potential top-12 prospect and father-son talent Jordan Croft. If the Dogs were to part ways with Pick 10 and 17 in a deal with the Eagles, they'd only be left with 653 draft points and would need to trade further picks to have enough points to match a bid for Croft in the first round.

Unlike the Bulldogs, the Giants have an early selection in the top six that would be crucial in any trade that sees the Eagles part with Pick 1. They're other first-round pick lands in the top 15 bracket, while much will be made of where the Giants' 2024 pick could land.

After finishing third last in 2022, GWS rocketed up the ladder and managed a preliminary final exit under first-year coach Adam Kingsley. If West Coast believes the Giants might fall back out of the top eight or at least in the lower half of the finals frame, they'll hold another top 15 selection.

St Kilda

Offer: Pick 12, 2024 first-round selection and Jade Gresham compensation*

This package will rely on multiple roads being taken, with the Saints first needing to acquire first-round compensation - either band one or band two - for the loss of Jade Gresham to help build their offer.

Band one compensation would see the Saints gain Pick 13, while band two places that selection at the end of the opening round - approximately Pick 20. Band two is unlikely to be enough to gain interest from the Eagles, however.

A somewhat controversial agreement with Essendon could see the Saints land valuable compensation for Gresham with a following trade deal to occur between the two clubs. St Kilda would then need to hold onto their compensation pick and hand over a later selection or 2024 pick to the Bombers in a move that could see Dylan Shiel and his heavy pay packet head to the Saints.

The second part of this bundle comes with the Eagles taking a gamble on the prediction that the Saints' strong 2023 campaign came in a year where the young Moorabbin squad achieved more than what their list suggests, with West Coast to assume the Saints' 2024 first-round pick will be among the top 10 picks for next year's count.

That'll give the Eagle Pick 12, a further first-round pick for this year, and then a top 10 pick for next year assuming the Saints finish outside of the finals frame in 2024.

Published by
Mitch Keating