Each year AFL clubs decide their list strategies and assess whether a strong draft hand is likely to yield benefits comparable to the trade assets the picks are worth.

As clubs push higher up the draft board they gain the security that they can draft the players they rate the highest before other clubs and, consequently, increase their chance of securing successful long-term recruits.

Nonetheless, this strategy is not foolproof and hindsight exposes the difficult reality of ranking the ability and potential of players before they have been introduced to an AFL environment.

In this list, the first round of the 2016 National Draft will be reassessed with the benefit of six years of AFL data.

Below is the original 2016 first round:

  1. Andrew McGrath
  2. Tim Taranto
  3. Hugh McCluggage
  4. Ben Ainsworth
  5. Will Setterfield
  6. Sam Petrevski-Seton
  7. Jack Scrimshaw
  8. Griffin Logue
  9. Will Brodie
  10. Jack Bowes
  11. Oliver Florent
  12. Jy Simpkin
  13. Daniel Venables
  14. Harry Perryman
  15. Jordan Gallucci
  16. Todd Marshall
  17. Jarrod Berry
  18. Sam Powell-Pepper
  19. Tim English
  20. Isaac Cumming
  21. Will Hayward

In this draft year, a number of players were taken as father-son and academy selections (eg. Will Setterfield, Jack Bowes, Harry Perryman). The nominal draft order will be adjusted to reflect what clubs would have actually taken into this hypothetical draft.

Where these players are selected it will be assumed that the clubs that matched their bids in the original 2016 draft will continue to do so regardless of where they land in this order.

11. Pick 11: Jordan Ridley - North Melbourne (Original position - Pick 22)

Ridley is one of just a handful of players in this draft that has won a best and fairest, having prevailed over star onballer Zach Merrett in 2020 after a breakout year.

He is an important defender for Essendon and would fit nicely into a North Melbourneย  defensive unit that is often marred by injury.

Ridley is a candidate to succeed Dyson Heppell as Essendon captain in the future which is indicative of leadership qualities that would be beneficial to the Kangaroos.

He averaged 15 kicks a game in 2022 and is an excellent user of the footy and reader of the play.

Mason Redman and Jordan Ridley during the AFL match between Essendon and Adelaide, Round 4, 2022 (Photo by Cameron Grimes / Zero Digital Media