AFL Teams

Trio undefeated as early contenders emerge: Predicting the first five rounds of the 2025 AFL season

Here’s how we see the competition sitting at the end of Round 4πŸ‘‡

Published by
Mitch Keating

With Opening Round just weeks away, it's time to look into how the early weeks might pan out and set up the 2025 AFL season.

The first five weeks will see all clubs play four games each, with byes scheduled for the eight clubs partaking in the Opening Round draw this year.

Those five rounds will take us up until Gather Round, with all 18 clubs having two home and two away games up until that mark of the season.

The first four games for some clubs should work favourably, while others have tougher tasks to start their new campaigns.

We've predicted results for the first five rounds of the season ahead, with the outcome having three clubs undefeated after the opening month while as many clubs remain without a victory.

VIEW: FULL 2025 AFL FIXTURE

Below we've broken down each club's four-game summary, listed each result and presented our predicted ladder at the cessation of Round 4.

Team Breakdowns

Adelaide

Record after four games: 3-1
Wins: St Kilda (H), North Melbourne (H)
Losses: Essendon (A), Gold Coast (A)

Brisbane

Record after four games: 4-0
Wins: Geelong (H), Sydney (A), West Coast (H), Richmond (A)
Losses: None

Carlton

Record after four games: 2-2
Wins: Richmond (A), Western Bulldogs (H)
Losses: Hawthorn (H), Collingwood (A)

Collingwood

Record after four games: 2-2
Wins: Western Bulldogs (A), Carlton (H)
Losses: GWS (A), Port Adelaide (H)

Essendon

Record after four games: 1-3
Wins: Adelaide (H)
Losses: Gold Coast (A), Hawthorn (A), Port Adelaide (H)

Fremantle

Record after four games: 3-1
Wins: Sydney (H), West Coast (A), Western Bulldogs (H)
Losses: Geelong (A)

Geelong

Record after four games: 3-1
Wins: Fremantle (H), St Kilda (A), Melbourne (H)
Losses: Brisbane (A)

Gold Coast

Record after four games: 3-1
Wins: Essendon (H), West Coast (A), Melbourne (A)
Losses: Adelaide (H)

GWS

Record after four games: 4-0
Wins: Collingwood (H), Melbourne (A), Hawthorn (A), West Coast (H)
Losses: None

Hawthorn

Record after four games: 2-2
Wins: Essendon (H), Carlton (A)
Losses: Sydney (A), GWS (H)

Melbourne

Record after four games: 1-3
Wins: North Melbourne (A)
Losses: GWS (H), Gold Coast (H), Geelong (A)

North Melbourne

Record after four games: 0-4
Wins: None
Losses: Western Bulldogs (A), Melbourne (H), Adelaide (A), Sydney (H)

Port Adelaide

Record after four games: 4-0
Wins: Collingwood (A), Richmond (H), Essendon (A), St Kilda (H)
Losses: None

Richmond

Record after four games: 0-4
Wins: None
Losses: Carlton (H), Port Adelaide (A), St Kilda (A), Brisbane (H)

St Kilda

Record after four games: 1-3
Wins: Richmond (H)
Losses: Adelaide (A), Geelong (H), Port Adelaide (A)

Sydney

Record after four games: 2-2
Wins: Hawthorn (H), North Melbourne (A)
Losses: Brisbane (H), Fremantle (A)

West Coast

Record after four games: 0-4
Wins: None
Losses: Gold Coast (H), Brisbane (A), Fremantle (H), GWS (A)

Western Bulldogs

Record after four games: 1-3
Wins: North Melbourne (H)
Losses: Collingwood (H), Carlton (A), Fremantle (A)

Round-By-Round Results

Opening Round

Brisbane defeat Geelong

Sydney defeat Hawthorn

Gold Coast defeat Essendon

GWS defeat Collingwood

BYES: Adelaide, Carlton, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Western Bulldogs, St Kilda, Fremantle, Richmond, Melbourne, West Coast

Round 1

Richmond defeated by Carlton

Hawthorn defeat Essendon

Geelong defeat Fremantle

Sydney defeated by Brisbane

Western Bulldogs defeat North Melbourne

Collingwood defeated by Port Adelaide

Adelaide defeat St Kilda

Melbourne defeated by GWS

West Coast defeated by Gold Coast

Round 2

Carlton defeated by Hawthorn

Western Bulldogs defeated by Collingwood

Essendon defeat Adelaide

Port Adelaide defeat Richmond

St Kilda defeated by Geelong

Brisbane defeat West Coast

North Melbourne defeated by Melbourne

Fremantle defeat Sydney

BYES: Gold Coast, GWS

Round 3

Essendon defeated by Port Adelaide

Carlton defeat Western Bulldogs

Melbourne defeated by Gold Coast

St Kilda defeat Richmond

Hawthorn defeated by GWS

Adelaide defeat North Melbourne

West Coast defeated by Fremantle

BYES: Collingwood, Brisbane, Sydney, Geelong

Round 4

Collingwood defeat Carlton

Geelong defeat Melbourne

Gold Coast defeated by Adelaide

Richmond defeated by Brisbane

North Melbourne defeated by Sydney

GWS defeat West Coast

Port Adelaide defeat St Kilda

Fremantle defeat Western Bulldogs

BYES: Hawthorn, Essendon

Predicted Ladder

Position Team Wins Losses Draws Points
Estimated Percentage
1 Brisbane 4 0 0 16 144.1
2 Port Adelaide 4 0 0 16 126.4
3 GWS 4 0 0 16 124.5
4 Adelaide 3 1 0 12 118.3
5 Gold Coast 3 1 0 12 114.8
6 Fremantle 3 1 0 12 110.7
7 Geelong 3 1 0 12 104
8 Sydney 2 2 0 8 107.8
9 Carlton 2 2 0 8 105.6
10 Hawthorn 2 2 0 8 99.7
11 Collingwood 2 2 0 8 93.6
12 Western Bulldogs 1 3 0 4 98.5
13 Melbourne 1 3 0 4 94
14 St Kilda 1 3 0 4 86.6
15 Essendon 1 3 0 4 82.2
16 North Melbourne 0 4 0 0 75.5
17 West Coast 0 4 0 0 73.1
18 Richmond 0 4 0 0 72.5
Published by
Mitch Keating